Crypto Agility and the Real Threat of Complacency

Key Takeaways

  • Crypto agility is becoming critical for long-term cyber resilience.
  • Mike Silverman argues complacency, not quantum computing, is the biggest threat.
  • Organizations must prioritize cryptographic inventories and migration planning now.
  • Post-quantum cryptography should be embedded into existing technology refresh cycles.
  • Vendor coordination and industry-wide collaboration will determine migration success.

Complacency, Not Quantum, Is the Real Threat: Mike Silverman on Why Crypto agility Can’t Wait

Complacency, not quantum, is the real threat. Quantum computing may dominate the headlines, but the deeper risk is decades of treating cryptography as invisible plumbing that “just works.”

According to Mike Silverman, Chief Strategy & Innovation Officer at FS-ISAC, the industry must stop thinking about cryptographic migration as a one-off project and start treating crypto as a first-class citizen in security. In a recent episode of Shielded: The Last Line of Cyber Defense, Silverman joined host Johannes Lintzen to explain why acting now, long before 2030, is the only way to build resilience, and why crypto agility, not quantum anxiety, must guide the future.

Silverman’s perspective comes from experience under pressure. Just four months after joining FS-ISAC, he was thrown into the financial sector’s pandemic response, spending eighteen months on coordination calls with government and industry. The lesson was clear: waiting until a threat arrives is too late.

Post-quantum cryptography (PQC), he argues, is no different. Trust is the foundation of financial services, and cryptography is the glue holding that trust together. Failing to act before disruption hits would risk systemic damage.

Why Crypto Agility Matters More Than Quantum Fear

One of Silverman’s central points is reframing the misconception.

“It’s not so much about the threat from quantum computers,” he explains. “The real issue is the lack of focus or investment that we as an industry have had on cryptography as a whole. We’ve treated it as it’ll just work. That plumbing will always be there.”

Past migrations – from DES to AES or RSA key expansions, were handled as emergency scrambles. The industry cannot afford to stumble into PQC the same way.

Instead, organizations must design for crypto agility. For Silverman, that means the ability to swap one algorithm for another with minimal downtime, minimal disruption, and ideally no code rewrites.

Achieving this requires more than technology. It demands:

  • Architectural foresight to decouple crypto from applications
  • Organizational policies that govern choices consistently across business units
  • Vendor coordination to ensure systems support emerging standards
  • Shared industry definitions and alignment across stakeholders

As Silverman recalls, even in large industry meetings, stakeholders were often talking past one another, proving that clarity and shared definitions were urgently needed.

Visibility Is the First Step

But agility begins with visibility.

Silverman often asks audiences to raise their hands if they know where 100% of their cryptographic keys are. Few, if any, can.

Inventories and risk models are the essential foundation. Without them, organizations can’t scope the migration or prioritize crown-jewel systems. And even with a ten-year runway, Silverman cautions, some legacy systems will remain.

For that reason, prioritization is critical:

  • Protect long-lived and high-value assets first
  • Focus on systems with the greatest trust dependencies
  • Accept that lower-risk systems may follow later
  • Build phased migration strategies rather than waiting for a single cutover

Why the 2030 Timeline Should Not Be Misunderstood

Timelines make this more urgent. Regulators and industry groups often point to 2030 and 2035, but Silverman stresses these must be read as phases, not finish lines.

By 2030

  • Inventories should be largely complete
  • High-value systems migrated

By 2035:

  • Broader coverage should be achieved across systems and networks

The Business Challenge Behind PQC Adoption

Yet hitting these milestones depends on factors outside any single organization’s control. Vendors must deliver early so institutions can test. PKI and certificate standards are still evolving, making interoperability a moving target.

Without global coordination across regulators, vendors, and networks, deadlines could collapse under their own weight.

The Business Challenge Behind PQC Adoption

Even if the technical path is clear, the boardroom can be another bottleneck.

Silverman acknowledges that PQC doesn’t directly drive revenue, making it a tough sell to executives who prefer to invest in growth initiatives like AI or new trading platforms.

“This isn’t going to build your revenue,” he notes, “but it will help you maintain your revenue and keep the trust.”

The answer is not to present PQC as a standalone burden but to embed it into ongoing modernization cycles.

Embedding PQC Into Existing Refresh Cycles

From mainframes to point-of-sale hardware, systems are refreshed every few years. Making PQC part of those refreshes helps organizations:

  • Secure funding more easily
  • Reduce operational disruption
  • Improve long-term resilience
  • Support sustainable crypto agility strategies

Crypto Agility Extends Beyond Quantum Computing

Silverman also highlights that the threat is not just quantum computing alone.

Mathematical attacks on RSA have been claimed for years, even if disproved so far.

“There could be a mathematical fault in RSA that we just haven’t uncovered yet, and we need to be ready for that potential,” he warns.

In other words, crypto agility is not simply about preparing for quantum, but for any cryptographic disruption.

Start Now, Not Later

His closing message is pragmatic, not alarmist.

“I don’t want to come across as a fearmonger. The sky is not falling. We have time. But the best day to start was yesterday, and the second best is today.”

Starting small, adding cryptographic attributes to asset management, training staff, asking vendors the right questions, creates momentum. Delay, by contrast, only compounds risk.

The takeaway is clear: the quantum timeline isn’t your biggest problem – complacency is.

Migration will take longer than expected. Vendor dependencies will make or break success. Standards are still moving targets. And boards must be persuaded to treat cryptography as fundamental to trust, not invisible plumbing.

Those who act now can turn PQC into a managed evolution. Those who wait risk panic, triage, and systemic disruption.

Start Building Your Crypto Agility Strategy Today

Preparing for the future of cybersecurity starts with action today. Whether your organization is beginning its post-quantum journey or looking to strengthen long-term resilience through crypto agility, now is the time to start building the foundations for secure cryptographic migration.

You can hear the full conversation on Shielded: The Last Line of Cyber Defense, available now on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and YouTube Podcasts.

Contact us today to learn how your organization can prepare for emerging cryptographic threats, improve visibility across critical systems, and build a practical roadmap for long-term cyber resilience.

About Mike Silverman

Mike Silverman is Chief Strategy & Innovation Officer at FS-ISAC, the global, member-driven consortium dedicated to collective defense in financial services.

In this role, he leads forward-looking initiatives on post-quantum cryptography, AI risks, cloud security, and sector resilience, helping financial institutions anticipate and prepare for the threats shaping tomorrow’s trust landscape.

With a career shaped by crisis response and industry collaboration, Mike has been at the center of efforts to align governments, regulators, and enterprises on how to secure financial systems under pressure, from pandemic coordination to the emerging quantum challenge.

His work focuses on reframing cryptography as a first-class citizen, embedding it into inventories, risk models, and long-term technology refresh cycles that extend beyond any single algorithm.

Known for his pragmatic perspective, Mike stresses that the real danger is complacency, not just quantum breakthroughs. He argues that cryptographic agility is the only sustainable defense, that timelines like 2030 and 2035 demand phased and realistic planning, and that collective readiness across vendors and supply chains is non-negotiable.

His message is clear: organizations don’t need to panic, but they do need to start now.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is crypto agility?

Crypto agility is the ability for an organization to quickly replace or upgrade cryptographic algorithms, protocols, and systems without causing major disruption to operations. It allows businesses to respond more effectively to emerging threats, including vulnerabilities in existing encryption standards and future quantum computing risks.

Why is crypto agility important?

Crypto agility helps organizations maintain trust, reduce operational risk, and adapt to evolving cybersecurity threats. As cryptographic standards change over time, businesses need flexible systems that can support rapid updates without requiring complete infrastructure overhauls.

What is post-quantum cryptography (PQC)?

Post-quantum cryptography refers to cryptographic algorithms designed to resist attacks from quantum computers. PQC aims to protect sensitive data and digital communications against future quantum-based threats that could break current encryption methods such as RSA and ECC.

Why are organizations being encouraged to prepare before 2030?

Industry groups and regulators are encouraging organizations to begin preparing now because cryptographic migration is a long-term process. Large environments often contain complex legacy systems, third-party dependencies, and evolving standards that require years of planning, testing, and implementation.

How can organizations begin improving crypto agility?

Organizations can start by creating cryptographic inventories, identifying high-risk systems, reviewing vendor readiness, and integrating cryptographic upgrades into existing technology refresh cycles. Building visibility and governance early helps reduce disruption later.